H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Mercy ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced decently since Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a hurricane on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has actually become less particular. Tammy was at first anticipated to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now suggesting that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a large and incredibly powerful hurricane that triggered huge destruction and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest hurricane to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record previously held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, along with big areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane cautions have actually now been issued for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means cyclone conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the current cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy should spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were happening over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a cyclone that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered cyclone cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a threat to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 hurricane was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to cyclone professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone professionals previously alerted typhoons could form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe risks and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy